The continuous listing of new shares has brought fresh blood to the market and is an important symbol of the development of the stock market. At the same time, it also brings new investment or speculative opportunities to investors. New stock speculation can be said to be a common practice in Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets. Some of them are speculated when they are listed, while others are speculated for a long time after they are listed. As an investor, if he can master the operation skills of new shares, he will often get more profits.
The main reason why new shares are “cared for” by the market lies in.
(1) At the beginning of the listing of new shares, transactions are active, and it is easier for large funds to enter and exit, especially the huge volume on the day of listing, which facilitates the bankers to collect chips quickly.
(2) It is easier for the banker to raise the stock price than the old stock because the new stock has no firm hold on the upstream and there is no clear stock price positioning.
(3) The lack of Technical Graphics and technical indicators for reference has brought great randomness to the market speculation, making it difficult for investors to grasp the law of its trend. It is up to the bankers to decide how to speculate and how high they want to speculate.
(4) Listed companies and underwriters often use a large amount of capital pallets to maintain their image when they are listed. The cooperation of listed companies provides a good guarantee for the future promotion and shipment of bankers.
(5) The speculation of new stocks in the downturn of the market will stimulate market sentiment, which can drive the rise of the market.
(6) The issuance of new shares is a large amount of funds raised for the future profit growth and development of the company to provide a potential hype theme, which is easy to be favored by bankers and investors.
When listing, there are new stocks speculated by the bankers, which can often obtain higher returns in a short time. Such new stocks generally have the following characteristics:
(1) Circulating shares are small, generally less than 100 million shares, especially around 50,000,000 shares, which are most vulnerable to market speculation. Of course, large-cap stocks also have successful examples of speculation.
(2) New stocks with unique industry or high growth are easy to be speculated, such as new stocks in high-tech, bioengineering, communications, environmental protection and other industries. The possibility of new stock speculation in the sunset industry is greatly reduced or difficult to attract market attention.
(3) With higher roll-over profit or capital accumulation fund, new stocks with the possibility of offering shares in the future are easy to be speculated.
(4) In the mid-term bottom, upward trend or strong market sentiment, new stocks are easy to speculate successfully, while in the downward trend and head area, new stocks are easy to open high and go low, and the probability of success is smaller.
(5) New shares are easy to be speculated when they are less listed, while new shares are more difficult to speculate when they are more concentrated, because the market capital is limited after all.
(6) The new stocks that are speculated on at the time of listing are usually stocks favored by market analysts and investors. Their speculation is easily recognized by the market, and only a few of them are unexpected.Whether a new stock will be hyped when it goes public after having the above conditions depends on the market performance on the day of listing.
Firstly, it is necessary to determine the degree of involvement of the main players in the first day of listing of new shares, that is, whether there are institutions in the initiative to absorb new shares, and how strong they are to absorb new shares. This requires investors to observe the intraday trading situation and whether the stock price operation has direction and sustainability. Stocks collected by institutions have obvious characteristics. Especially in the first 15 minutes of a new stock, generally speaking, if the turnover rate reaches more than 5%, and the first 10 minutes pull out the positive line, and the turnover rate reaches more than 15%, it shows that the stock has obvious signs of new main force active absorption. This is because if the main body is interested in a new stock, it will take advantage of the 5-15 minutes after the opening, while the majority of retail investors are still in the market. Henan, wait and see, quickly intervene to collect chips. Short-term investors can intervene when the stock returns later, and they may have better market performance on that day. Therefore, the turnover rate and stock price trend in the first 5-15 minutes and the first half hours can often analyze whether there is a major involvement. Generally speaking, the 10-minute turnover rate is about 20%, the one-hour turnover rate is above 30%, and the morning turnover rate is above 40%, which deserves great attention.
Secondly, we need to count the turnover rate. The most important point in judging whether there is a short-term opportunity for new shares is whether the turnover is sufficient. Because it is directly related to the concentration of chips. Generally speaking, too high or too low turnover rate is not conducive to speculation in the future market. Generally speaking, when the successful turnover of new stocks is close to 60%, the main funds that want to speculate will have a greater desire to crazily pull up the move out of the cost zone. At the same time, the first 30 minutes of better performance in the future market tend to change hands at more than 30%, while the first 30 minutes of the day change hands rate. In the 20% area, the negative line is usually withdrawn on the same day, and the subsequent performance is not ideal.
After the target stocks have the above two characteristics, it is very important to examine the nature of the intervention funds, whether they are based on the midline operation or short-term speculation. For midline bankers, because of their long operation time, there are many ways to build warehouses. Whether there will be short-term opportunities depends on the concentration of chips. For short-term bankers, as long as they hold part of the chips, they can operate, and the short-term stock often has a larger rise. The nature of the intervention fund can be judged from the basic aspects of the new stock and the shape of the new stock. From the current operation mode of the new stock, the majority is the midline fund.
Finally, we should consider the market atmosphere and the relative position of the index. Generally speaking, the index should be in a relatively high position, lacking hot spots on the market, and when stocks are relatively quiet, short-term opportunities are likely to arise. At this time, once a new stock strengthens, it is very easy to cause market resonance. Because of the different industries of new shares, the degree of correlation between them is not high. As a sector, the intensity of speculation is not the same. In more cases, it is shown as a single soldier advance of a single share. Once it spreads, it means that the speculation of new shares is close to the end. If the market is in the downward channel, it is generally not appropriate to intervene in new stock speculation. Because if the market has been in a slump, most of the new shares will adjust with the adjustment of the market after listing. On the one hand, when the market adjusts, the main speed of warehousing construction slows down to get cheaper chips. On the other hand, when the market falls down, hot money will be greatly reduced, and the enthusiasm of its participation in new stock speculation will be greatly reduced.
Stock selection
Skills of Short-term Speculation in New Stocks
The first day of listing of new shares is not restricted by the increase rate. From the opening price generated by collective bidding to the highest price on that day, it is often as high as 20%-30%. However, because there are still T+l restrictions, it is very important to judge whether the closing line is on that day or not, otherwise the risk and loss will be great. Stock price changes and trading volume within minutes before the first day of listing play a decisive role in the day’s trend. The time to buy new shares is the third five minutes after the opening. The selling time is on the 2nd or 3rd day.
Buying criteria:
(1) The turnover rate in the first 15 minutes was more than 25%. Large turnover rate is the precondition for the main body to intervene.
(2) The first three five-minute K-line combination is Yang-Yin-Yang, or all of them are Yang-Line. However, if the Yang-Line is too long, the rising space will not be too large and the short-term opportunity will be lost.
(3) In the first three and five minutes, especially in the third five minutes, there were many large bills in succession. The high turnover indicates that the main players are active and the stock price is less likely to fall on that day.

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